Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.020884 0.023117 0.025349 0.027742 0.030228 0.032731 0.035436
2025-03-02 0.016300 0.019805 0.023440 0.027461 0.031758 0.036189 0.041082
2025-03-09 0.013261 0.017541 0.022123 0.027323 0.032997 0.038948 0.045616
2025-03-16 0.010615 0.015345 0.020574 0.026649 0.033401 0.040586 0.048730
2025-03-23 0.008955 0.014056 0.019861 0.026738 0.034492 0.042835 0.052374
2025-03-30 0.007311 0.012609 0.018829 0.026346 0.034944 0.044292 0.055067
2025-04-06 0.005757 0.011104 0.017607 0.025635 0.034950 0.045180 0.057064
2025-04-13 0.004191 0.009398 0.016018 0.024394 0.034270 0.045234 0.058073
2025-04-20 0.003594 0.008926 0.015901 0.024856 0.035511 0.047413 0.061410
2025-04-27 0.002699 0.007906 0.015020 0.024344 0.035578 0.048227 0.063189
2025-05-04 0.001890 0.006874 0.014047 0.023666 0.035406 0.048733 0.064589
2025-05-11 0.001487 0.006433 0.013826 0.023892 0.036281 0.050419 0.067301
2025-05-18 0.000962 0.005716 0.013280 0.023817 0.036944 0.052033 0.070142
2025-05-25 0.000491 0.004919 0.012585 0.023559 0.037419 0.053480 0.072859
2025-06-01 0.000187 0.004257 0.012021 0.023431 0.038026 0.055063 0.075718
2025-06-08 0.000005 0.003440 0.011120 0.022802 0.037978 0.055847 0.077633
2025-06-15 NaN 0.003005 0.010772 0.022885 0.038788 0.057622 0.080670
2025-06-22 NaN 0.002440 0.010127 0.022519 0.039008 0.058676 0.082851
2025-06-29 NaN 0.001838 0.009306 0.021855 0.038819 0.059216 0.084414
2025-07-06 NaN 0.001176 0.008191 0.020699 0.037955 0.058915 0.084969
2025-07-13 NaN 0.001039 0.008165 0.021129 0.039132 0.061067 0.088385
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000699 0.007557 0.020653 0.039105 0.061745 0.090056
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000395 0.006878 0.020022 0.038849 0.062124 0.091359